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Heathrow third runway: Government hires £3m bankers amid taxpayer risk fears

Ministers seek advice on the economic case and potential costs of the £49 billion expansion project.

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Heathrow third runway: Government hires £3m bankers amid taxpayer risk fears
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The Government is recruiting financial experts for a minimum of £3 million to assess the strength of the economic argument for a third runway at Heathrow Airport. The Department for Transport has issued a tender seeking an 'experienced banking adviser' to provide guidance on the proposed scheme.

This recruitment follows admissions from ministers that taxpayers might ultimately be responsible for costs associated with the £49 billion expansion of the west London airport. The Department for Transport is seeking advice on "the Government exposure to programme costs and risks" as part of the procurement process.

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Scope of Advisory Role

The banking adviser's contract is set for three years, with an option to extend for an additional year, at a cost of approximately £3 million. The adviser will be required to produce a strategic financeability assessment every six months. The Department for Transport's tender outlines key areas for advice, including the financeability and financial deliverability of the expansion, affordability, risk allocation, investor confidence, and measures to improve financeability and reduce delivery risk.

Further areas of focus include debt and equity market appetite, financing conditions, delivery structures, governance arrangements, commercial models, and emerging financing, commercial, and regulatory issues. This advisory role aims to support the Government in developing a framework for the Heathrow expansion that allows for a third runway to be delivered affordably.

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Concerns and Opposition

The move has drawn criticism, with Twickenham MP Munira Wilson stating, "It beggars belief that Government is only now investigating whether taxpayers' money is at risk thanks to its support for Heathrow expansion." This concern is amplified by the fact that Chancellor John Healey has previously expressed strong support for the project, stating last month that "the economic case stacks up and will help bring growth."

However, the Department for Transport's tender acknowledges that "expansion presents significant financing, affordability, delivery and regulatory challenges." Prime Minister Andy Burnham has also expressed reservations, refusing to back the third runway multiple times in a recent interview. The proposed new runway would significantly increase Heathrow's capacity, allowing for 756,000 flights and 150 million passengers annually. It is estimated to cost £49 billion, including terminal and other improvements, and would necessitate the relocation of the M25 motorway.

Additionally, the Government’s own advisors on global warming have issued a warning, stating there is "no credible pathway" for a third Heathrow runway to comply with the UK’s legally binding climate targets under current policies for reducing aviation emissions. London Mayor Lord Sadiq Khan also strongly opposes the development.

What Happens Next

The Department for Transport will use the advice from the newly hired banking adviser to inform its approach to the Heathrow expansion project. The outcome of this assessment will be crucial in determining the future direction and financial arrangements for the proposed third runway.

Questions this report answers

+How much is the Government paying for banking advice on the Heathrow third runway?

The Government is hiring an experienced banking adviser for at least £3 million. The contract is for three years, with an option to extend for one more year, to assess the economic case and financial viability of the proposed third runway at Heathrow Airport.

+What are the potential costs of the Heathrow expansion project?

The proposed expansion of Heathrow Airport, including a third runway, is estimated to cost £49 billion. Ministers have acknowledged that taxpayers could be left to cover significant portions of this bill, prompting the need for expert financial advice on programme costs and risks.

+What are the main concerns raised about the Heathrow third runway?

Concerns include the potential financial burden on taxpayers, the project's affordability, and delivery risks. Additionally, the Government's own climate advisors have warned that the runway is not compatible with UK climate targets, and local communities are worried about increased pollution and noise.

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